IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.7	#340
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.4	#132
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.0	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.7	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	1.0%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.1	15.7

.500 or above	3.8%	17.3%	3.3%
.500 or above in Conference	10.6%	23.5%	10.1%
Conference Champion	0.4%	1.2%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	41.9%	23.0%	42.6%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.4%
First Round	0.4%	1.0%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 12	7 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	123	@ College of Charleston	L	61-80	4%
Nov 11, 2019	322	@ NC Central	L	66-72	31%
Nov 13, 2019	85	@ Virginia Tech	L	57-79	2%
Nov 18, 2019	132	@ Akron	L	60-77	6%
Nov 20, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	56-90	0.1%
Nov 23, 2019	225	Youngstown St.	L	73-79	30%
Nov 30, 2019	276	@ Charlotte	L	63-72	21%
Dec 03, 2019	274	Eastern Kentucky	L	83-86	39%
Dec 08, 2019	102	@ Furman	L	61-81	4%
Dec 18, 2019	323	@ South Carolina St.	L	72-77	33%
Dec 29, 2019	300	VMI	L	77-79	44%
Jan 02, 2020	194	@ Charleston Southern	L	67-81	13%
Jan 04, 2020	260	@ Longwood	L	68-78	19%
Jan 08, 2020	245	Hampton	L	76-81	34%
Jan 16, 2020	134	Radford	L	64-75	17%
Jan 18, 2020	176	@ Gardner-Webb	L	65-80	11%
Jan 20, 2020	308	High Point	L	66-67	47%
Jan 23, 2020	218	@ Winthrop	L	73-85	15%
Jan 25, 2020	301	UNC Asheville	L	67-69	45%
Jan 30, 2020	319	@ Presbyterian	L	71-77	32%
Feb 01, 2020	302	Campbell	L	70-71	45%
Feb 06, 2020	301	@ UNC Asheville	L	64-72	26%
Feb 08, 2020	176	Gardner-Webb	L	68-77	24%
Feb 10, 2020	194	Charleston Southern	L	70-78	27%
Feb 15, 2020	308	@ High Point	L	63-70	29%
Feb 20, 2020	260	Longwood	L	71-75	36%
Feb 22, 2020	134	@ Radford	L	61-78	8%
Feb 27, 2020	218	Winthrop	L	76-82	30%
Feb 29, 2020	245	@ Hampton	L	73-84	18%
Projected Record						7 - 22	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0						1.5	3rd
4th									0.1	0.4	1.0	0.7	0.1	0.0							2.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0								3.8	5th
6th							0.1	1.0	2.5	1.8	0.3	0.0									5.6	6th
7th						0.1	1.4	3.3	2.5	0.5	0.0										7.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	2.0	4.2	3.3	0.7	0.0											10.6	8th
9th			0.0	1.0	3.3	5.9	3.8	0.9	0.1												15.0	9th
10th		0.4	2.4	6.3	7.4	4.1	0.9	0.1													21.6	10th
11th	3.4	7.4	9.4	6.6	3.1	0.7	0.0														30.6	11th

Total	3.4	7.8	11.8	13.9	14.2	12.8	10.4	8.7	6.4	4.4	2.7	1.7	0.9	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	80.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	50.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
13-5	27.3%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	6.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0
10-8	0.3%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%																			0.0		0.0		0.0
16-2	0.0%		48.9%	48.9%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-3	0.1%		34.3%	34.3%		14.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
14-4	0.3%		16.2%	16.2%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-5	0.5%		16.3%	16.3%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
12-6	0.9%		8.3%	8.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.8
11-7	1.7%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.6
10-8	2.7%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	2.7
9-9	4.4%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.3
8-10	6.4%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.4
7-11	8.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
6-12	10.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
5-13	12.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-14	14.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.2
3-15	13.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
2-16	11.8%																							11.8
1-17	7.8%																							7.8
0-18	3.4%																							3.4

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.4%